Transformaciones y retos de las políticas de seguridad en México: un análisis correlacional entre percepción ciudadana de inseguridad y confianza institucional
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Corporación Universitaria Minuto de Dios - UNIMINUTO
Abstract
Este artículo examina las transformaciones y retos de las políticas públicas de seguridad en México, con énfasis en el análisis correlacional entre la percepción de inseguridad y la confianza institucional. Se abordan reformas recientes como la consolidación de la Guardia Nacional y la Estrategia Nacional de Seguridad Pública 2024–2030, así como los desafíos persistentes en coordinación intergubernamental, profesionalización policial y participación ciudadana. La metodología empleada corresponde a un estudio cuantitativo correlacional, basado en datos agregados de la Encuesta Nacional de Seguridad Pública Urbana (ensu) del inegi entre 2020 y 2025. Se analizaron dos variables: percepción de inseguridad y confianza institucional, mediante el coeficiente de correlación de Pearson. Los resultados muestran una correlación negativa casi perfecta (r = −0.99, p < 0.001), lo que indica que, a mayor confianza en las instituciones de seguridad, menor es la percepción de inseguridad.
This article examines the transformations and challenges of public security policies in Mexico, with emphasis on a correlational analysis between the perception of insecurity and institutional trust. Recent reforms are addressed, such as the consolidation of the National Guard and the National Public Security Strategy 2024–2030, as well as persistent challenges in intergovernmental coordination, police professionalization, and citizen participation. The methodology corresponds to a quantitative correlational study, based on aggregated data from the National Urban Public Security Survey (ensu) conducted by inegi between 2020 and 2025. Two key variables were analyzed: perception of insecurity and institutional trust, using Pearson’s correlation coefficient and a scatter plot. The results show an almost perfect negative correlation (r = −0.99, p < 0.001), indicating that higher trust in security institutions is associated with lower perception of insecurity.
This article examines the transformations and challenges of public security policies in Mexico, with emphasis on a correlational analysis between the perception of insecurity and institutional trust. Recent reforms are addressed, such as the consolidation of the National Guard and the National Public Security Strategy 2024–2030, as well as persistent challenges in intergovernmental coordination, police professionalization, and citizen participation. The methodology corresponds to a quantitative correlational study, based on aggregated data from the National Urban Public Security Survey (ensu) conducted by inegi between 2020 and 2025. Two key variables were analyzed: perception of insecurity and institutional trust, using Pearson’s correlation coefficient and a scatter plot. The results show an almost perfect negative correlation (r = −0.99, p < 0.001), indicating that higher trust in security institutions is associated with lower perception of insecurity.
